PREMIUM
AAA's 10* Afternoon Pac-12 *RED DRAGON* (MASSIVE ATS BEATDOWN!)
(NCAAB) Oregon vs. Stanford,
02/13/2016 11:00 AM, Score: 72 - 76
Point Spread: 7.00 | -105.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 7.00 | -105.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Stanford.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: There is no doubt that the Cardinal will be playing with desperation today, they've lost four straight, both SU and ATS, most recently a 62-50 setback to Oregon State on Thursday. Conversely, we absolutely feel that this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Ducks, who after winning both SU and ATS in six straight games, would finally fall 83-63 at Cal as 1.5 points favs last time out. It's hard to gain momentum back after losing it and suffice it to say, this one definitely sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors in our professional opinion.
Revenge: Stanford has lost two straight in the series, both SU and ATS, most recently a 71-58 setback at Oregon on January 10th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Cardinal are 17-3 SU the last 20 in this series when playing in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: It's not too hard to imagine the 20-5 Ducks coming into this one a bit complacent as they hit a "vanilla" part of their schedule, with a game vs. the hapless Beavers next week and while we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on STANFORD.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: There is no doubt that the Cardinal will be playing with desperation today, they've lost four straight, both SU and ATS, most recently a 62-50 setback to Oregon State on Thursday. Conversely, we absolutely feel that this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Ducks, who after winning both SU and ATS in six straight games, would finally fall 83-63 at Cal as 1.5 points favs last time out. It's hard to gain momentum back after losing it and suffice it to say, this one definitely sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors in our professional opinion.
Revenge: Stanford has lost two straight in the series, both SU and ATS, most recently a 71-58 setback at Oregon on January 10th.
ATS statistics: Note that the Cardinal are 17-3 SU the last 20 in this series when playing in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: It's not too hard to imagine the 20-5 Ducks coming into this one a bit complacent as they hit a "vanilla" part of their schedule, with a game vs. the hapless Beavers next week and while we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on STANFORD.
AAA Sports
