PREMIUM
*SUPER VALUE ALERT!* AAA's LATE-NIGHT BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT (JUST $25!)
(NCAAB) Colorado State vs. UNLV,
02/13/2016 5:00 PM, Score: 80 - 87
Point Spread: -7.00 | -110.00 UNLV (Home)
Result: Push
Point Spread: -7.00 | -110.00 UNLV (Home)
Result: Push
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on UNLV.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: The Rams picked up a second consecutive victory by beating the Boise State Broncos on Wednesday, but needed double OT to do it, eventually pulling away for the 97-93 win. The victory had some controversy as well, as Boise State's James Webb III hit a three-pointer before time expired in the first OT, but the officials did not count the shot. The Conference has since reversed the decision and the Broncos are protesting the loss. With the team still thinking about the drama surrounding that exciting contest, there's no question that this one sets up as classic letdown spot for the visitors.
A move in the correct direction: UNLV broke a three-game slide by besting SJSU 64-61 last time out. And it's the way the Rebels closed which has us confident for this one as UNLV came back from a 37-24 halftime deficit to score 40 points in the second.
Revenge: The Rams would beat the Rebels at home in Fort Collins earlier in the season.
ATS statistics: Note that Colorado State is just 3-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season, while UNLV is 7-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: There are a bunch of different factors which are all pointing to UNLV as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: The Rams picked up a second consecutive victory by beating the Boise State Broncos on Wednesday, but needed double OT to do it, eventually pulling away for the 97-93 win. The victory had some controversy as well, as Boise State's James Webb III hit a three-pointer before time expired in the first OT, but the officials did not count the shot. The Conference has since reversed the decision and the Broncos are protesting the loss. With the team still thinking about the drama surrounding that exciting contest, there's no question that this one sets up as classic letdown spot for the visitors.
A move in the correct direction: UNLV broke a three-game slide by besting SJSU 64-61 last time out. And it's the way the Rebels closed which has us confident for this one as UNLV came back from a 37-24 halftime deficit to score 40 points in the second.
Revenge: The Rams would beat the Rebels at home in Fort Collins earlier in the season.
ATS statistics: Note that Colorado State is just 3-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season, while UNLV is 7-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: There are a bunch of different factors which are all pointing to UNLV as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
