AAA's 3-GAME SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION PASS (+$20K NHL RUN CONT!)
(NHL) Toronto vs. Vancouver, 02/13/2016 2:00 PM, Score: 5 - 2
Money Line: -165.00 Vancouver (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Vancouver Canucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Canucks will be eager to build off their two straight road victories and to avenge a 4-2 setback to Toronto on November 11th.

Motivation: Vancouver will also be looking to snap a three-game slide in front of the home town crowd. With the two game win surge, the Canucks are now just outside of a playoff spot in the Western Conference: "Every game is do or die for us," Canucks' defenseman Alex Biega confirmed last night. "Every point really matters. For the most part, that's playoff-type of hockey."

If history is any precedence: Vancouver definitely has to be feeling confident in this spot, it hasn't lost at home to the Maple Leafs since 2003, while outscoring them 26-7 in the last six there.

Plummeting Leafs: Toronto comes in with zero momentum, it's 0-3-0 on its current five-game road trip after falling 5-2 to Edmonton on Thursday. The Leafs have given up 15 goals so far on the swing. Expected starter Jonathan Bernier has posted a deplorable 3.82 GAA while losing four straight road starts.

ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is 6-13 (-6.2 units) this year after allowing four goals or more, while Vancouver is 13-10 (+3.7 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: There's no reason for VANCOUVER to look past the lowly Leafs today, this is a do or die scenario and all signs do indeed point to a victory of the rocking-chair variety.

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