AAA's VERY EARLY ACC SUPER BLOWOUT (UNREAL VALUE UNCOVERED!)
(NCAAB) Syracuse vs. Boston College, 02/14/2016 8:00 AM, Score: 75 - 61
Point Spread: 11.50 | -107.00 Boston College (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Boston College.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Surging Eagles: Boston College has lost its first 11 conference matches, but comes in off its most complete effort of the season in its 68-65 setback to No. 8 UNC on Tuesday. Suffice it to say, we look for this team to carry that momentum over into this one.

The immediate revenge factor: BC will be looking to avenge a 62-40 setback to the Orange on January 13th.

Classic letdown spot: Syracuse is rolling, it's won four straight and seven of its last eight to re-enter the NCAA Tournament picture. However, with a game vs. Louisville on Wednesday, it's definitely not too hard to imagine the Orange looking past the lowly Eagles today to that extremely important matchup.

Scheduling quirk: Note that this is the first road game for Syracuse since its loss at Virginia on January 24th. All four of its victories during the recent surge have come on its home floor.

ATS statistics: Note that Syracuse is just 2-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more, while BC is 5-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: We won't try to convince you that the Eagles are a good team which has just gone through some bad luck, as that's definitely not the case. BC is a bad team, but there's no question that the situational factors are all on its side today. Grab as many points as you can with BOSTON COLLEGE.

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