AAA's 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION - 29-19 "P.L." STREAK!
(NHL) Toronto vs. Chicago, 02/15/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 2 - 7
Point Spread: -1.50 | 120.00 Chicago (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Blackhawks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: After losing three straight at home, do you think the Blackhawks will "look past" the Leafs tonight, or look to take advantage of their transitioning opponent? Obviously the latter, it'll be all hands on deck as Chicago looks to cap a frustrating home stand before then hitting the road.

Leafs injury woes: Toronto comes in off a hugely satisfying 5-2 win at Vancouver on Saturday and with injuries to top forward James van Riemsdyk, Tyler Bozak, Nazem Kadri, Joffrey Lupul and with captain Dion Phaneuf having been shipped over to Ottawa on Tuesday, there's no question in our minds that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors.

Woeful power play: The Leafs possess the league's worst power play at 14.6 percent and they're just 2 for 49 in their last 15 games.

If history is any precedence: The Hawks have to be loving their chances today, they've won 10 of 12 in the series and five straight matches at the United Center.

ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is just 4-7 (-2.1 units) after a win by two goals or more this year, while Chicago is 21-7 (+10 units) vs. teams with losing records and 5-1 (+3.9 units) after playing three consecutive home games.

The bottom line: The Leafs are catching this hungry BLACKHAWKS team at the most inopportune time, all signs do indeed point to an epic lop-sided destruction.

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