AAA's 10* *Spurs/Clippers* BLOCKBUSTER - +$31,000 RUN w/ 10* NBA PICKS!
(NBA) San Antonio vs. LA Clippers, 02/18/2016 5:30 PM, Score: 86 - 105
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 LA Clippers (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Clippers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Significant injuries: The Spurs will once again be without the services of big man Tim Duncan and veteran Manu Ginobili tonight.

Home court advantage: The Spurs are 28-0 at home, but a mere 17-8 on the road. Obviously that's still a great record, but it's definitely been more of an adventure for San Antonio whenever it's played away from friendly confines. LA is 17-8 at home and with a game vs. the Warriors on deck next, we're expecting the team to leave everything it has on the floor tonight in trying to secure the upset.

Revenge factor: San Antonio won the first matchup of the year, a 115-107 victory on December 18th.

ATS statistics: Note that the Spurs are interestingly just 4-5 ATS in their last nine vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Clippers are 9-7 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-3 ATS in their last nine vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per game.

The bottom line: Even without Blake Griffin in the lineup tonight, we love the CLIPPERS in this spot, there are a bunch of different situational and strong trend based factors working in their favor today and while we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

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