PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$21K NHL RUN CONTINUES!
(NHL) Vancouver vs. Calgary,
02/19/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 2 - 5
Money Line: -150.00 Calgary (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -150.00 Calgary (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Both teams struggling mightily, BUT: Both teams are struggling to get victories. The Flames also learned that starting goaltender Karri Ramo is lost for the season due to injury. Vancouver's goaltending issues aren't much better with both starter and backup struggling. So with each team continuing to flounder, where's the advantage here? The difference in our minds is clearly on the offensive end of the ice, where the Flames have averaged at least 3.5 goals over their last six games, compared to the Canucks 1.8 over their last eight.
ATS statistics: Note that Vancouver is just 5-6 (-3 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games, while Calgary is 4-2 (+2.4 units) after playing to three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: Vancouver played and lost just last night, so we definitely believe fatigue will be a factor in this one. All signs do indeed point to the FLAMES as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Both teams struggling mightily, BUT: Both teams are struggling to get victories. The Flames also learned that starting goaltender Karri Ramo is lost for the season due to injury. Vancouver's goaltending issues aren't much better with both starter and backup struggling. So with each team continuing to flounder, where's the advantage here? The difference in our minds is clearly on the offensive end of the ice, where the Flames have averaged at least 3.5 goals over their last six games, compared to the Canucks 1.8 over their last eight.
ATS statistics: Note that Vancouver is just 5-6 (-3 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games, while Calgary is 4-2 (+2.4 units) after playing to three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: Vancouver played and lost just last night, so we definitely believe fatigue will be a factor in this one. All signs do indeed point to the FLAMES as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
