PREMIUM
AAA's WEST-COAST EXPRESS *MAJOR ATS ROUT UNCOVERED!*
(NBA) Houston vs. Portland,
02/25/2016 5:30 PM, Score: 119 - 105
Point Spread: 5.00 | -115.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 5.00 | -115.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Houston Rockets.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Rockets have already lost twice to the Blazers this season, despite massive efforts from James Harden and Dwight Howard.
Classic letdown spot: There's no question that Portland has been playing awesome of late, but note that the team hasn't won seven in a row in over 15 months. Conversely, while the Blazers sit complacent and contented, the Rockets are now on the outside of the playoff picture looking in after falling 117-114 in OT at Utah on Tuesday.
ATS statistics: Note that Houston is 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games, also 7-4 ATS in its last 11 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 6-4 ATS this season as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Portland is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect Harden and Howard to keep this one close enough to at the very least allow the ROCKETS to sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: The Rockets have already lost twice to the Blazers this season, despite massive efforts from James Harden and Dwight Howard.
Classic letdown spot: There's no question that Portland has been playing awesome of late, but note that the team hasn't won seven in a row in over 15 months. Conversely, while the Blazers sit complacent and contented, the Rockets are now on the outside of the playoff picture looking in after falling 117-114 in OT at Utah on Tuesday.
ATS statistics: Note that Houston is 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games, also 7-4 ATS in its last 11 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 6-4 ATS this season as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Portland is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect Harden and Howard to keep this one close enough to at the very least allow the ROCKETS to sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
