AAA's EAST-COAST EXPRESS - +$23K NHL RUN CONT!
(NHL) Carolina vs. Toronto, 02/25/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 1 - 3
Money Line: -130.00 Carolina (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Carolina Hurricanes.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Surging visitors: The Hurricanes come into this one playing their best hockey of the season, they just beat Philadelphia 3-1 on Tuesday and are 5-2-2 over a span which has seen them total 27 goals.

Superior goaltending: Carolina net minder Cam Ward is 9-4-4 with a 1.84 GAA and .930 save percentage dating back to December 18th. Note that Ward has been particularly dominant vs. the Leafs throughout his career as well, limiting them to a goal in his last three match-ups as part of a 7-2-1 stretch with a 1.68 GAA and .941 save percentage.

Recent history: The Hurricanes are 22-7-2 since losing three of four to Toronto back in 2006. Over a 5-0-1 stretch in the series, Carolina has outscored the Leafs 18-5. And that's bad news for a Toronto team which has been shelled for 36 goals during a 1-6-1 span.

Brutal goaltending: The Leafs' Jonathan Bernier is winless over a seven start stretch, going 0-5-0 with a horrible 3.92 GAA and .872 save percentage.

The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on CAROLINA.

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