AAA's 10* IVY-LEAGUE "ASSASSIN!" (MAJOR ATS ROUT UNCOVERED!)
(NCAAB) Columbia vs. Princeton, 02/26/2016 1:00 PM, Score: 83 - 88
Point Spread: 8.00 | -124.00 Columbia (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Columbia.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:

Revenge: Two of the top teams in the Ivy League go head to head tonight, The Columbia Lions have won two straight and four of five, while Princeton has won six straight. So where's the advantage you ask? We think the "revenge factor" is a major one today, the Tigers have won four straight and nine of the last ten in the series, including an 88-83 OT victory in Columbia on February 13th.

ATS statistics: Note that Columbia is already 2-1 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 4-2 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival, while Princeton is just 2-3 ATS at home this season and only 2-3 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched on both ends of the floor, but the revenge factor and these strong and relevant ATS trends, combined with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to it, all do indeed make COLUMBIA the savvy move in this contest.

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