PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GAME TOP TOTALS PASS (3-0, 100% S-W-E-E-P ANTICIPATED!)
(NBA) Washington vs. Minnesota,
03/02/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 104 - 98
Total: 220.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 220.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Washington Wizards and the Minnesota Timberwolves.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Washington's road woes: The Wizards have been great at home and are 6-2 since the All-Star break, but they went just 2-5 away from friendly confines in February. And a date in Minnesota is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked, the Wolves have won five straight in the series in Minnesota, while holding Washington to just 88.6 points. The most recent was a 97-77 setback last February.
Minnesota's inconsistency: The Wolves have been all over the map with their performance on both ends of the floor this season, note that this is in fact a spot in which they've had difficulty in putting points on the board, as they've seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of 15 this year following a loss by ten points or more, and interestingly in five of seven vs. the Southeast division.
More strong and relevant ATS statistics: This is also a position in which the Wizards have shown a penchant to playing to the lower number, as they've seen the total go UNDER in 14 of 25 when playing the role of favorite and in four of six vs. the Northwest division.
The bottom line: Three different sets of factors collide to make the UNDER the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Washington's road woes: The Wizards have been great at home and are 6-2 since the All-Star break, but they went just 2-5 away from friendly confines in February. And a date in Minnesota is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked, the Wolves have won five straight in the series in Minnesota, while holding Washington to just 88.6 points. The most recent was a 97-77 setback last February.
Minnesota's inconsistency: The Wolves have been all over the map with their performance on both ends of the floor this season, note that this is in fact a spot in which they've had difficulty in putting points on the board, as they've seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of 15 this year following a loss by ten points or more, and interestingly in five of seven vs. the Southeast division.
More strong and relevant ATS statistics: This is also a position in which the Wizards have shown a penchant to playing to the lower number, as they've seen the total go UNDER in 14 of 25 when playing the role of favorite and in four of six vs. the Northwest division.
The bottom line: Three different sets of factors collide to make the UNDER the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
