PREMIUM
AAA's Over/Under WEST-COAST "ASSASSIN!"
(NBA) Phoenix vs. Memphis,
03/06/2016 11:00 AM, Score: 109 - 100
Total: 206.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 206.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* Over/Under WEST-COAST ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Phoenix Suns and the Memphis Grizzlies.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Momentum: Despite being without top scorer Marc Gasol and with swingman Tony Allen out for the last seven games, the Grizzlies have still gone 5-2 their last seven, most recently coming off a 94-88 win over Utah on Friday. The home side will be especially motivated here as well after inexplicably falling 111-106 in Phoenix on Saturday. However, not to be outdone, the Suns are also showing some life right now, most recently they'd end a franchise record-tying 17-game road losing skid with a 102-84 win at Orlando (Phoenix big man Alex Len had a career-high 31 points and 15 boards).
ATS statistics: Note that the total has gone OVER the number in six of the Suns' last seven in Memphis overall, while the Grizzlies have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of their last 14 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Memphis looks like a new team with the additions it acquired at the trade deadline, certainly it's style of game has completely changed, from a tough defensive scheme, to more of a run and gun system. Phoenix is playing out the end of a miserable season, but it has looked exponentially better over the last two weeks. We're expecting each team to push the pace from the outset and for this total to go OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Momentum: Despite being without top scorer Marc Gasol and with swingman Tony Allen out for the last seven games, the Grizzlies have still gone 5-2 their last seven, most recently coming off a 94-88 win over Utah on Friday. The home side will be especially motivated here as well after inexplicably falling 111-106 in Phoenix on Saturday. However, not to be outdone, the Suns are also showing some life right now, most recently they'd end a franchise record-tying 17-game road losing skid with a 102-84 win at Orlando (Phoenix big man Alex Len had a career-high 31 points and 15 boards).
ATS statistics: Note that the total has gone OVER the number in six of the Suns' last seven in Memphis overall, while the Grizzlies have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of their last 14 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Memphis looks like a new team with the additions it acquired at the trade deadline, certainly it's style of game has completely changed, from a tough defensive scheme, to more of a run and gun system. Phoenix is playing out the end of a miserable season, but it has looked exponentially better over the last two weeks. We're expecting each team to push the pace from the outset and for this total to go OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
