PREMIUM
AAA's TOP RATED 10* EAST-COAST SUPER TOTAL - +$40K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NBA) Philadelphia vs. Miami,
03/06/2016 1:00 PM, Score: 98 - 103
Total: 212.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 212.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Miami Heat.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Hassan Whiteside: The Heat big man is averaging 18.5 points, 15.5 boards and 3.8 blocks in eight games since returning from suspension.
Top defense in the East: Miami has the top defensive unit in the Eastern Conference, allowing just over 97 PPG.
Major injuries: The 76ers will be without the services of top big men Jahlil Okafor and Nerlens Noel, as well as reserves Kendall Marshall and Nick Stauskas.
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven following a loss in the first game of a home-and-home scenario, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last nine at home in this series.
The bottom line: With Miami looking to control the pace of this one from the outset and taking into account all of these other factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Hassan Whiteside: The Heat big man is averaging 18.5 points, 15.5 boards and 3.8 blocks in eight games since returning from suspension.
Top defense in the East: Miami has the top defensive unit in the Eastern Conference, allowing just over 97 PPG.
Major injuries: The 76ers will be without the services of top big men Jahlil Okafor and Nerlens Noel, as well as reserves Kendall Marshall and Nick Stauskas.
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven following a loss in the first game of a home-and-home scenario, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last nine at home in this series.
The bottom line: With Miami looking to control the pace of this one from the outset and taking into account all of these other factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
