AAA's "REVENGE ASSASSIN!" - +$20K NHL RUN!
(NHL) San Jose vs. Calgary, 03/07/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 2 - 1
Money Line: -158.00 San Jose (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the San Jose Sharks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Brutal GAA: The Flames are tied with Arizona for the NHL's worst goals-against average at 3.12. San Jose has feasted on Calgary already this year, scoring five times in three of four meetings this season, its 17 goals vs. the Flames is the most against it in a season since 1997. Note that Calgary has in fact given up at least five goals three times in a four-game stretch before Saturday's 4-2 win at Pittsburgh which snapped a seven-game slide. Poor play between the pipes has also played a major part in Calgary's spiral down the proverbial crapper, as Jonas Hiller has posted a deplorable 4.71 GAA while losing his last three starts. Hiller would give up five goals in his only start vs. the Sharks this year on November 28th.

Precise power-play: The Sharks have been spectacular with the man-advantage vs. the Flames this season, converting on seven of 15 chances. And that's bad news for a Calgary penalty kill unit which has allowed a league-worst 19 power-play goals since February 9th.

Spectacular goaltending: Sharks' goaltender Marin Jones has posted a 1.67 GAA in winning his last three starts and is 3-1-0 lifetime vs. the Flames.

The bottom line: These two teams are moving in opposite directions, in our opinion the price is right in this one. Play on SAN JOSE.

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