PREMIUM
AAA's 10* WCC Tourney GAME OF YEAR (7-4, +$3,040 CBB RUN!)
(NCAAB) Pepperdine vs. St. Mary's,
03/07/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 66 - 81
Point Spread: -7.00 | -106.00 St. Mary's (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -7.00 | -106.00 St. Mary's (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* WCC Tourney GAME OF THE YEAR on Saint Mary's.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Double revenge scenario: The Pepperdine Waves would beat San Francisco to advance to the WCC Quarter-Finals and were the only team to defeat the Gaels twice in the regular season. It's payback time.
Defensive number discrepancies: These teams nearly average the same amount of points on the offensive end (St. Mary's averages 74.7, while Pepperdine averages 73.7), but the Gaels only give up an average of 60 PPG, while the Waves give up an average of 70.9.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, the double revenge factor along with these massive number mismatches does indeed make SAINT MARY'S the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Double revenge scenario: The Pepperdine Waves would beat San Francisco to advance to the WCC Quarter-Finals and were the only team to defeat the Gaels twice in the regular season. It's payback time.
Defensive number discrepancies: These teams nearly average the same amount of points on the offensive end (St. Mary's averages 74.7, while Pepperdine averages 73.7), but the Gaels only give up an average of 60 PPG, while the Waves give up an average of 70.9.
The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, the double revenge factor along with these massive number mismatches does indeed make SAINT MARY'S the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
