PREMIUM
AAA's 10* ULTRA-EARLY ACC TOURNEY GAME OF MONTH - +$40K RUN w/ 10* PICKS!
(NCAAB) Wake Forest vs. North Carolina State,
03/08/2016 7:00 AM, Score: 72 - 75
Point Spread: 4.50 | -106.00 Wake Forest (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 4.50 | -106.00 Wake Forest (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ACC Tournament GAME OF THE MONTH on Wake Forest.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Both teams are terrible: Wake Forest finished 11-19, while NC State was 15-16. The Demon Deacons lost three in a row and 14 of 15, but looked decent in their 79-71 loss at Duke in the regular season finale. The Wolfpack dropped three of their last four, most recently getting crushed 89-75 at Notre Dame last weekend. These teams are in fact very evenly matched, a sentiment clearly shared by the oddsmakers. They met twice in the regular season and Wake would win 77-74 at home on January 10th, before NC State returned the favor in a 99-88 shootout on February 13th.
ATS statistics: Note that Wake Forest is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on a neutral court and 4-1 ATS in its last six when playing with five or six days rest, while NC State is just 1-2 ATS in neutral court games this season and just 1-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on WAKE FOREST.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Both teams are terrible: Wake Forest finished 11-19, while NC State was 15-16. The Demon Deacons lost three in a row and 14 of 15, but looked decent in their 79-71 loss at Duke in the regular season finale. The Wolfpack dropped three of their last four, most recently getting crushed 89-75 at Notre Dame last weekend. These teams are in fact very evenly matched, a sentiment clearly shared by the oddsmakers. They met twice in the regular season and Wake would win 77-74 at home on January 10th, before NC State returned the favor in a 99-88 shootout on February 13th.
ATS statistics: Note that Wake Forest is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on a neutral court and 4-1 ATS in its last six when playing with five or six days rest, while NC State is just 1-2 ATS in neutral court games this season and just 1-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on WAKE FOREST.
AAA Sports
