PREMIUM
AAA's Afternoon ACC Tournament "ASSASSIN!"
(NCAAB) Boston College vs. Florida State,
03/08/2016 9:30 AM, Score: 66 - 88
Point Spread: 12.50 | -106.00 Boston College (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 12.50 | -106.00 Boston College (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Boston College.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Look-ahead spot: Despite this being the first round of the ACC tournament, it's not too hard to imagine the 18-12 Seminoles taking the lowly 7-24 Eagles a little lightly today. BC was winless in conference play and is in the midst of an 18-game losing streak. Despite all of these facts, we think the value has now swung to the dog in this situation.
ATS statistics: Note that the Eagles have in fact performed well in this spot for bettors this season, going 4-2 ATS in their last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while FSU has struggled by going just 6-9 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: This line is already dropping, grab as many points as you can as we expect the sizeable dog to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Play on BOSTON COLLEGE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Look-ahead spot: Despite this being the first round of the ACC tournament, it's not too hard to imagine the 18-12 Seminoles taking the lowly 7-24 Eagles a little lightly today. BC was winless in conference play and is in the midst of an 18-game losing streak. Despite all of these facts, we think the value has now swung to the dog in this situation.
ATS statistics: Note that the Eagles have in fact performed well in this spot for bettors this season, going 4-2 ATS in their last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while FSU has struggled by going just 6-9 ATS when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: This line is already dropping, grab as many points as you can as we expect the sizeable dog to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Play on BOSTON COLLEGE.
AAA Sports
