AAA's Afternoon PAC-12 Tournament SWEEPER PASS (PREPARE FOR 3-0, 100%!)
(NCAAB) Arizona State vs. Oregon State, 03/09/2016 6:30 PM, Score: 66 - 75
Point Spread: -3.00 | -103.00 Oregon State (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Oregon State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:

Revenge factor: The 11th seeded Sun Devils played the Beavers just once this season and won 86-68 on January 28th.

ATS statistics: Note that ASU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine on a neutral court, while Oregon State is 2-1 ATS this year on a neutral court and 6-4 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, we look for the "better" team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on OREGON STATE.

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