PREMIUM
AAA's EAST-COAST EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Milwaukee,
03/09/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 108 - 114
Point Spread: 2.50 | -105.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 2.50 | -105.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: After five straight victories, we think the Heat, who have a back-to-back set starting at Chicago on Thursday and ending in Toronto on Friday, suffer a classic letdown here.
Revenge: Milwaukee plays with revenge after falling 107-103 to Miami on January 29th.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Bucks will not only be hungry to avenge that setback, but they'll also be risking life and limb in trying to snap a stretch in which they've lost five of their last seven.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS after a divisional contest and 12-9 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MILWAUKEE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic letdown spot: After five straight victories, we think the Heat, who have a back-to-back set starting at Chicago on Thursday and ending in Toronto on Friday, suffer a classic letdown here.
Revenge: Milwaukee plays with revenge after falling 107-103 to Miami on January 29th.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Bucks will not only be hungry to avenge that setback, but they'll also be risking life and limb in trying to snap a stretch in which they've lost five of their last seven.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS after a divisional contest and 12-9 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.
The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MILWAUKEE.
AAA Sports
