PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$21K NHL RUN!
(NHL) Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay,
03/11/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 3 - 1
Money Line: -160.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -160.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Tampa Bay Lightning.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Motivation levels: Tampa has lost two straight, including a 4-2 setback at Philadelphia just last week. That was then followed with a 1-0 OT loss at Boston the next night. And with a five game road trip starting on Saturday night, we think it's safe to say that the Bolts will be risking life and limb in trying to secure this victory today.
Classic letdown spot: The Flyers have been playing great, they've won five of their last six, but with a game tomorrow night in Florida, all signs do indeed point to a letdown spot for the visitors in this one (Note that Philadelphia has totaled 14 goals during an 0-6-2 skid at Tampa).
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia is just 6-8 (-2.8 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Tampa Bay is 31-17 (+10.6 units) in its last 48 when playing with two or more days of rest.
The bottom line: When taking into account all of the situational, motivational and strong trend based factors working in favor of the LIGHTNING today, it's amazing to us that this line is as affordable as it is.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key factors:
Motivation levels: Tampa has lost two straight, including a 4-2 setback at Philadelphia just last week. That was then followed with a 1-0 OT loss at Boston the next night. And with a five game road trip starting on Saturday night, we think it's safe to say that the Bolts will be risking life and limb in trying to secure this victory today.
Classic letdown spot: The Flyers have been playing great, they've won five of their last six, but with a game tomorrow night in Florida, all signs do indeed point to a letdown spot for the visitors in this one (Note that Philadelphia has totaled 14 goals during an 0-6-2 skid at Tampa).
ATS statistics: Note that Philadelphia is just 6-8 (-2.8 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Tampa Bay is 31-17 (+10.6 units) in its last 48 when playing with two or more days of rest.
The bottom line: When taking into account all of the situational, motivational and strong trend based factors working in favor of the LIGHTNING today, it's amazing to us that this line is as affordable as it is.
AAA Sports
