AAA's 10* NHL SIDE OF WEEK - +$22K NHL RUN!
(NHL) Florida vs. NY Islanders, 03/14/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 2 - 3
Money Line: -130.00 NY Islanders (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the New York Islanders.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on what we feel to be a couple of key common sense factors:

Motivation levels: After four straight victories, the Isles have lost two in a row. They also lost to Florida 5-1 on December 15th. With a three-game road trip starting in Pittsburgh tomorrow night, it's going to be all hands on deck for the Islanders this evening and we're fully expecting this focus and determination to translate into production on the ice. Florida on the other hand is coming off back-to-back victories at home, including an extremely satisfying come-from-behind 5-4 shootout win over the Flyers on Saturday. With a game tomorrow night in Montreal, not only does this set up as classic "letdown" spot for the visitors, but it's also a "look-ahead" scenario as well. Advantage New York.

ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 2-6 (-3.4 units) in its last eight following back-to-back home victories in which its scored five goals or more, while the Isles are 6-3 (+2.7 units) in trying to revenge a loss in which they fell by four or more goals.

The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, strong motivational, situational and trend based factors, along with what we deem to be an extremely reasonable line, all combine to make the ISLANDERS the savvy move in this contest.

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