PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GM PRO HOOPS PASS - +$40,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Detroit vs. Washington,
03/14/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 81 - 124
Total: 208.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 208.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Detroit Pistons and the Washington Wizards.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 17 this year after a victory by ten points or more and in 20 of 36 on the road, while Washington has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of its last 20 vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: Each team is also dealing with injury issues. This one has all the makings of a "chess match," rather than a run-and-gun shootout. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 17 this year after a victory by ten points or more and in 20 of 36 on the road, while Washington has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of its last 20 vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: Each team is also dealing with injury issues. This one has all the makings of a "chess match," rather than a run-and-gun shootout. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
