PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GM PRO HOOPS PASS - +$40,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Denver vs. Miami,
03/14/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 119 - 124
Total: 204.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 204.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER in two of three this year after three or more consecutive wins and in six of ten after a victory by ten points or more, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 24 non-conference games this season and in ten of 14 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Both teams are also dealing with injuries to key players. This one has all the makings of a "chess match," rather than a run-and-gun shootout. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:
Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER in two of three this year after three or more consecutive wins and in six of ten after a victory by ten points or more, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 24 non-conference games this season and in ten of 14 after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Both teams are also dealing with injuries to key players. This one has all the makings of a "chess match," rather than a run-and-gun shootout. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
