This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Mavericks and the Portland Trailblazers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant Over/Under ATS stats:

Note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in nine of six off an upset win as an underdog, while Portland has seen the total go UNDER in 22 of 40 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: These teams just played to a high-scoring OT game on Sunday, all signs point to this one going the other way today. Play on the UNDER

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