PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH (152-106 +$16,184 MLB Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. LA Dodgers,
08/09/2016 6:10 PM, Score: 3 - 9
Money Line: -204.00 LA Dodgers (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -204.00 LA Dodgers (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 7* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the LA Dodgers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Kenta Maeda: We think he'll be the biggest factor in today's game. Maeda is 10-7 with a 3.22 ERA. Maeda gave up just two runs over six innings in a 4-2 win over the Rockies at Coors Field. Maeda has also been dominant at home, posting a 3.17 ERA.
Vince Velasquez: Velasquez is 8-3 with a 3.33 ERA. Velasquez left his last start vs. the Giants on Thursday early with a blister. Velazquez has been dominant at home this year posting a 1.72 ERA compared to a 4.69 ERA on the road.
The bottom line: Walks have been a major factor for Velasquez of late, issuing 17 free passes and striking out 34 in his last 36 innings of work. Along with his higher road ERA, all signs point to a long night for the visitors. There are also several red hot LA hitters right now, including first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, who was 2 for 4 yesterday and who has multiple hits in each of his past three games.
Play the Dodgers.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Kenta Maeda: We think he'll be the biggest factor in today's game. Maeda is 10-7 with a 3.22 ERA. Maeda gave up just two runs over six innings in a 4-2 win over the Rockies at Coors Field. Maeda has also been dominant at home, posting a 3.17 ERA.
Vince Velasquez: Velasquez is 8-3 with a 3.33 ERA. Velasquez left his last start vs. the Giants on Thursday early with a blister. Velazquez has been dominant at home this year posting a 1.72 ERA compared to a 4.69 ERA on the road.
The bottom line: Walks have been a major factor for Velasquez of late, issuing 17 free passes and striking out 34 in his last 36 innings of work. Along with his higher road ERA, all signs point to a long night for the visitors. There are also several red hot LA hitters right now, including first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, who was 2 for 4 yesterday and who has multiple hits in each of his past three games.
Play the Dodgers.
AAA Sports
