AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (+$16,000 MLB RUN!)
(MLB) Tampa Bay vs. Toronto, 08/10/2016 3:07 PM, Score: 0 - 7
Money Line: -185.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Toronto Blue Jays.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

The Rays' Blake Snell: It's hard to say anything negative about Snell, he's 3-4 with a 2.95 ERA. He's been better on the road as a starter than at home as well. We simply feel that his opponent is still better and that this is an overall bad position for him.

The Jays' JA Happ: Happ is 15-3 with a 3.09 ERA. He's been solid across the board, putting up consistent numbers whether it's at home (3.02) or on the road (3.15) and whether throwing in the day (2.63) or the night (3.60).

The bottom line: Happ has had issues with the Rays this year, but he's 9-0 with a 2.49 ERA over his last ten starts. Toronto remains one of the most prolific offensive clubs in the league, but has been scuffling of late, averaging just 2.8 runs over its last ten games. After falling 9-2 to the lowly Diamondbacks yesterday, we're expecting the home side to finally respond with a focused effort this evening, play on TORONTO.

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