PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (+$16,000 MLB RUN!)
(MLB) Arizona vs. NY Mets,
08/11/2016 8:10 AM, Score: 9 - 0
Money Line: -222.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -222.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the New York Mets.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Massive mismatch on the mound: Braden Shipley is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA this year. Shipley has made two starts so far in the bigs and looked poor in his road start, posting a 4.76 ERA.
Noah Syndergaard is 9-6 with a 2.64 ERA and has been the victim of poor run support this year, receiving just six runs of over his last three decisions. All were losses. Syndergaard has enjoyed a ton of success at home though (is 5-3 with a 2.41 ERA so far this year) and we think that run continues this afternoon.
The bottom line: After three straight starts without a victory, we look for "Thor" to come in focused on the task at hand and to easily outduel his overmatched opponent. Play on the METS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Massive mismatch on the mound: Braden Shipley is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA this year. Shipley has made two starts so far in the bigs and looked poor in his road start, posting a 4.76 ERA.
Noah Syndergaard is 9-6 with a 2.64 ERA and has been the victim of poor run support this year, receiving just six runs of over his last three decisions. All were losses. Syndergaard has enjoyed a ton of success at home though (is 5-3 with a 2.41 ERA so far this year) and we think that run continues this afternoon.
The bottom line: After three straight starts without a victory, we look for "Thor" to come in focused on the task at hand and to easily outduel his overmatched opponent. Play on the METS.
AAA Sports
