AAA's EARLY SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH (158-108 +$17,532 MLB Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Washington, 08/14/2016 9:35 AM, Score: 1 - 9
Money Line: -212.00 Washington (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Washington Nationals.

Setting the scene: After a disastrous debut, Braves' pitcher Tyrell Jenkins has looked a lot better, but we think that has more to do with the competition that he's faced, rather than complete dominance on his part. Nationals' starter Tanner Roark has been the very model of consistency this season though and we look for the hard-throwing right-hander to continue his strong 2016 campaign.

Jenkins: He's 2-2 with a 3.92 ERA. Most recently Jenkins allowed one run over six innings in a win over the Brewers on Tuesday. He now has four quality outings in his last five starts. Note though that he owns a poor 13:20 K:BB ratio. Also note that the Pirates are in fact the only club that Jenkins has faced with a winning record this year. And finally note that Jenkins owns a poor 4.71 ERA on the road.

Roark: He's 12-6 with a 2.88 ERA. Most recently Roark outdueled San Francisco ace Madison Bumgarner on Sunday, going seven scoreless and allowing just five hits while also striking out five to pick up the 1-0 victory. Roark now leads the majors in outings of seven or more scoreless innings with a total of seven. Note that Roark is 5-2 with a 1.82 ERA in all "day" games.

The bottom line: We love laying chalk when the situation calls for it. Washington escaped with a 7-6 victory last night and we think the home side carries that momentum over into this favorable matchup. Play on the NATIONALS.

AAA Sports