AAA's NATIONAL LEAGUE AFTERNOON TOP TOTAL (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. Milwaukee, 09/05/2016 9:10 AM, Score: 7 - 2
Total: 8.00 | -114.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Setting the scene: Not many would think of Kyle Hendricks and Zach Davies as "elite" starting pitchers, but clearly those people would be wrong. A couple of under-the-radar hurlers square off on Monday afternoon and all signs point to a classic low-scoring pitchers duel.

Hendricks: He's 13-7 with a 2.09 ERA. Most recently he went seven scoreless against the Pirates on Tuesday, giving up just three hits and walking one while also striking out four. It was his sixth straight quality start and he's now 9-1 over his last ten trips to the hill. His WHIP stands at 0.98, which is second best in the NL. Finally, note that he's 8-2 with a 2.15 ERA in all day games.

Davies: He's 10-6 with a 4.07 ERA. Most recently he gave up three runs off seven hits and struck out nine over 6.1 innings in a no-decision vs. the Cardinals on Monday. Davies struggled against the Cubs two weeks ago, but has since put together back-to-back strong outings. He now owns a sharp 117:34 K:BB ratio over 139.1 frames. Note that he's 7-4 with a 3.74 ERA at home this year.

The bottom line: Note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in 28 of 49 vs. teams with losing records this season, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip UNDER the number in 40 of 67 this year vs. clubs with winning records. Play the UNDER.

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