AAA's ONE & ONLY 10* GAME OF MONTH (100% RUN ON THE LINE!) - VERY EARLY!
(MLB) Houston vs. Cleveland, 09/08/2016 8:10 AM, Score: 7 - 10
Money Line: -142.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Indians.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on common sense.

Astros: They send David Paulino (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the hill to make his debut. The 22-year old is obviously being thrown to the wolves in his first start, but it'll have to be a trial by fire for the right-hander. Paulino was lights-out in Double-A, but wasn't nearly as impressive once going to Triple-A. Clearly things aren't going to get any easier for the youngster this afternoon and suffice it to say, we think he's in way over his head.

Indians: They send Trevor Bauer (10-6, 3.70) to the hill, who comes in off a big effort over Miami on Saturday, allowing three runs off four hits with three walks and four strikeouts over 8.1 innings. Bauer has now posted four consecutive quality starts.

The bottom line: This is a golden matchup opportunity that Cleveland can ill afford to let go by the way side. As much promise as Paulino may possess, this is simply a tough spot for the rookie. Bauer is the savvy move here and in our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on the INDIANS.

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