AAA's 10* Thursday Night *RED DRAGON* (Easily Hit OVER L/Thursday, 12-6, 67% YTD!)
(NFL) Houston vs. New England, 09/22/2016 4:25 PM, Score: 0 - 27
Point Spread: -1.00 | -104.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Houston Texans.

Setting the scene: Both teams are 2-0 SU/ATS and something has to give. If you asked Bill Belichick if he'd take a 2-2 record after the first four games of the season, we think he'd likely have jumped on it. The Pats won last week, but Jimmy Garoppolo injured his throwing shoulder. New England was already without the services of star TE Rob Gronkowski, who along with Garoppolo, is a game-time decision this evening. While we don't have a ton of faith in turn-over prone Brock Osweiler, there's no question in our minds that this is an opportunity that highly favors the Texans, a deep offensive team, backed by a superb defensive unit.

New England: If Garoppolo does play, clearly he won't be 100%. If Gronk does play, he also clearly won't be in "game shape" right out of the gate. How effective can third string QB Jacoby Brissett be? Whoever gets the start, New England will clearly be looking to establish itself on the ground, LaGarrette Blount had 123 yards off 29 carries last week. The Patriots will also be hoping that their defense can once again answer the call, an above average unit, which has been a strength of the team early.

Houston: Osweiler was 19 of 33 with one TD, but he also had two INT's in last week's 19-12 win over the Chiefs. WR DeAndre Hopkins is back and already dominating this season, he had seven catches for 113 yards and a TD last week. RB Lamar Miller was a force on the ground as well, rushing for 83 yards last Sunday, after going for 106 in Week 1. The Texans looked deadly defensively, as JJ Watt continues to make his comeback, last week he had 1.5 sacks and five tackles. So far the defense has five forced turnovers through the first two weeks.

The bottom line: Belichick is a genius and is better than any coach in all of sports history in being able to get the most out of the least, but we think this is a hole too deep for even "The Hoodie" to get out of tonight. The short week favors the healthier Texans. New England has a game against division rival Buffalo next week, a much more important contest. We think that Belichick is already looking ahead to that one, making this a fantastic situational investment. Play on HOUSTON.

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