PREMIUM
AAA's 10* PAC-12 TOTAL OF YEAR (*LIVE ON ESPN!*) +$38K BIG TICKET 10* RUN!
(NCAAF) California vs. Arizona State,
09/24/2016 6:00 PM, Score: 41 - 51
Total: 83.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 83.00 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between California and Arizona State.
Setting the scene: For the most part, we base our Over/Under predictions on "situations" (in every sport). Cal is 2-1 SU to open the year and has seen the total soar above the number in all three contests. ASU is 3-0 SU and has seen the O/U go 2-1, including in two straight. When these teams played last year, Cal won 48-46, the total also flying above the posted number. Three of these team's last four in the series have also eclipsed the number. In 2004 the total was set at 60, 2007 it was 63, 2008 it was 53, 2009 it was 51, 2010 it was 50.5, 2011 it was 55.5, 2012 it was 58, and in 2015 it was 67. And now in 2016 it sky-rockets to 82.5. These teams have high-powered offenses and play little defense, however we think that this number is indeed just a little bit too high.
California: Note that Cal has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 on the road, in ten of its last 16 when playing the role of underdog and in ten of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records.
Arizona State: Note that the Sun Devils have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 15 in front of the home town crowd and in ten of their last 18 when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: This number is really high. You don't need many stops or FG's for this one to lose pace and that's exactly what we're expecting. This can still be a high-scoring shootout and fall below this massive number. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
Setting the scene: For the most part, we base our Over/Under predictions on "situations" (in every sport). Cal is 2-1 SU to open the year and has seen the total soar above the number in all three contests. ASU is 3-0 SU and has seen the O/U go 2-1, including in two straight. When these teams played last year, Cal won 48-46, the total also flying above the posted number. Three of these team's last four in the series have also eclipsed the number. In 2004 the total was set at 60, 2007 it was 63, 2008 it was 53, 2009 it was 51, 2010 it was 50.5, 2011 it was 55.5, 2012 it was 58, and in 2015 it was 67. And now in 2016 it sky-rockets to 82.5. These teams have high-powered offenses and play little defense, however we think that this number is indeed just a little bit too high.
California: Note that Cal has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 on the road, in ten of its last 16 when playing the role of underdog and in ten of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records.
Arizona State: Note that the Sun Devils have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 15 in front of the home town crowd and in ten of their last 18 when playing the role of favorite.
The bottom line: This number is really high. You don't need many stops or FG's for this one to lose pace and that's exactly what we're expecting. This can still be a high-scoring shootout and fall below this massive number. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
