AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL OF WEEK (TITANIC 70% NFL RUN!)
(NFL) Miami vs. Cincinnati, 09/29/2016 4:25 PM, Score: 7 - 22
Total: 45.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Cincinnati Bengals.

Setting the scene: Both teams are 1-2 SU, meaning they'll be desperate for a victory. It's a short-week and with little time to prepare and re-focus, we're expecting a "chess match," rather than a "track meet."

Miami: The Dolphins are very "lucky" to be at 1-2, as they blew an 11-point lead against the Browns last week and needed OT to pull away for the 30-24 win. Cleveland had a chance to end it in regulation, but the Browns would predictably miss it. QB Ryan Tannehill was 25 of 39 for 319 yards and three TDs, to go along with one INT. Note that he would have been under 300 yards passing and have just two TD's if not for the extra frame. Tannehill has four INT's so far this year. The Dolphins had success on the ground as well, with 115 total team yards. Defensively the team will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after the late letdown against Browns' third string QB Cody Kessler.

Cincinnati: The Bengals defense will also be out to atone for a horrible performance last weekend, allowing Denver QB Trevor Siemian to throw four TD's. Andy Dalton struggled against the Broncos ferocious defense, throwing for just 206 yards, zero TD's and one INT. He was sacked four times. Dalton has been inconsistent over two games with just two major scores, with two INT's. Note that he's already been sacked 12 times this year. The run game finally got untracked though, as Jeremy Hill posted 97 yards and two TD's. The run defense was good, holding the Broncos to just 52 total rushing yards.

The bottom line: Note that the Dolphins have seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of their last 17 on the road and 15 of their last 26 when playing with six or less days rest, while the Bengals have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four as a home fav in the 7 to 10 points range and in eight of their last ten against clubs with losing records. Play the UNDER.

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