AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT *RED DRAGON!* (SIGNATURE PROFITS!)
(NCAAF) UCONN vs. Houston, 09/29/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 14 - 42
Point Spread: -28.50 | -110.00 Houston (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Houston.

Setting the scene: It's time for some revenge tonight as UConn managed a 20-17 win at home over Houston last year. The Huskies are 2-2 SU, while the Cougars are 4-0. Connecticut lost 31-24 at home to Syracuse last week, while Houston smashed Texas State 64-3.

The Huskies: UConn failed to convert on a fourth down on the Orange two-yard line with just seconds left to play, spoiling the come from behind victory. QB Bryant Shirreffs had 264 yards with one TD and one INT. Shirreffs has struggled to open the year, with just two TD's to go along with two INT's. The Huskies have one great receiver in Noel Tomas, who had 14 catches for 111 yards last week, but beyond him, they're pretty thin on the offensive side of the ball. Note that the unit is ranked 109th in the country at 21.2 PPG. The defense has done a better job, allowing 22.5 PPG, ranked 46th.

The Cougars: QB Greg Ward Jr. was 20 of 26 against Texas State for 289 yards, two TD's and no INT's. Ward Jr. didn't play in Week 2 against FCS Lamar, but over the three games that he has been involved in, he's thrown for 936 yards with five TD's and two INT's. The run game was also dominant with 243 total team yards last week, led by Duke Catalon with 70. So far the offense has averaged 44.8 PPG. The defense could arguably be even better, as it's given up an average of 10.5 PPG thus far.

The bottom line: Note that UConn is just 6-20-1 ATS in its last 27 road games, while Houston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight after allowing less than 20 points in its previous game. We simply can't see the Huskies matching pace with the Cougars high-powered offense. So far Shirreffs has been terrible and he's about to go up against the best defense he's seen all year. We like HOUSTON to put the foot on the gas from start to finish, lay the points.

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