AAA's 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
(NCAAF) Louisville vs. Clemson, 10/01/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 36 - 42
Point Spread: 1.50 | -110.00 Clemson (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson.

Setting the scene: It's a battle of ACC heavyweights, as 4-0 Louisville takes on 4-0 Clemson on Saturday night. This line opened with the Tigers as 3.5 point favorites, but as of writing, Clemson is now the dog, getting a couple of points. So far Cardinals' QB Lamar Jackson has been unstoppable this year, but we think he's going to struggle in this difficult venue and against this top notch defense.

Louisville: Jackson would finish with 417 yards and five passing TD's, to go along with two more rushing scores in his team's 59-28 win over Marshall last week. Jackson so far has 12 rushing TD's, which is No. 1 in the country. The Clemson rush defense though is the most stout he'll have faced yet this season. RB Brandon Radcliff is another dangerous weapon, to go along with WR James Quick, who has 360 receiving yards thus far. Their offense is No. 1, but the defense is ranked in the middle of the pack, allowing 22.5 PPG, ranked 47th in the nation.

Clemson: The Tigers dismantled Georgia Tech last weekend, dominating on both sides of the ball in the 26-8 win. QB DeShaun Watson continues to slowly get better as the season has worn on, he was 32 of 48 for 304 yards, two TD's and an INT. RB Wayne Gallman has yet to find his stride, rushing for 100 yards just once. Note though that offense averages 33.5 PPG, 57th overall in the country. Defensively though Clemson ranks among the best, last week it held the Yellow Jackets up-tempo attack to just 29 yards in the air and only 95 yards on the ground. Over the first four games the unit has given up an average of just 11 PPG.

The bottom line: This clearly won't be a cake walk, while it's true that Jackson has yet to face a defense as good as Clemson's, it's also true that the Tigers have yet to face an offense as dynamic as this one. Note though that Louisville has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors in the past, going just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after two or more consecutive SU wins and interestingly just 3-5 ATS in its last eight in weeks 5 through 9. And note that this is a spot in which the Tigers have excelled in, going 4-1 ATS in their last five as an underdog and 10-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records. They say defense wins championships, and while nothing but a perfect record after five weeks is on the line in this one, we still feel that adage applies in this big conference matchup. Play on CLEMSON.

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