PREMIUM
AAA's EARLY *30 STAR* TOTAL DESTRUCTION PASS (CASHED 50 STAR REPORT L/SUNDAY!)
(NFL) Atlanta vs. Denver,
10/09/2016 12:05 PM, Score: 23 - 16
Total: 46.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 46.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based almost entirely on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten games played on a grass field, in six of its last nine against teams with winning records and in 13 of its last 18 on the road, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range and in eight of its last ten non-conference contests.
The bottom line: Denver's vaunted defense will have to be sharp today against Atlanta's high-flying offense, but the conditions obviously favor the home side. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based almost entirely on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten games played on a grass field, in six of its last nine against teams with winning records and in 13 of its last 18 on the road, while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range and in eight of its last ten non-conference contests.
The bottom line: Denver's vaunted defense will have to be sharp today against Atlanta's high-flying offense, but the conditions obviously favor the home side. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
