AAA's WED NIGHT SUN-BELT SUPER-BLOWOUT (67% in Wk 5 & 71% in Wk 6!)
(NCAAF) Appalachian State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette, 10/12/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 24 - 0
Point Spread: 10.00 | -104.00 Louisiana-Lafayette (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Louisiana Lafayette.

Setting the scene: Appalachian State is 3-2 to start the year, while Louisiana Lafayette is just 2-3. Both teams are coming off their bye-weeks. The Ragin' Cajuns are the "hungrier" team in our opinion though after back-to-back OT defeats and while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we're definitely expecting a more competitive affair than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe.

The Mountaineers: Both of App State's losses were against Power 5 opponents (Tennessee and Miami). It's 1-0 in Sun Belt play after beating Georgia State 17-3. QB Taylor Lamb has been serviceable to this point, but the passing game has taken a step back this season. Note that the Mountaineers are 10th in the Sun Belt in third-down conversions.

The Ragin' Cajuns: Mark Hudspeth's team was 4-8 in 2015. There isn't much room for error moving forward if the school hopes to go bowling this year. But not only does Lafayette look to atone for back-to-back OT losses, but its also out to avenage back-to-back setbacks to Appalachian State the last two seasons, including a 28-7 loss last year.

The bottom line: Lamb is working with a group of revamped receivers this season, so the QB position is a "wash" in our opinion. Note that Cajuns' QB Anthony Jennings has completed 60.7 percent of his passes so far this year. Both team's offenses revolve around the run game though, as Appalachian State ranks third in conference with an average of 213 YPG, while UL Lafayette is at No. 4 at 179.8. The visitors have the better defense, but we think the desperation level in which the home side plays with tonight will play a big role in this competitive affair. Note that the Mountaineers are just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 off a win against a conference rival and just 2-3 ATS in its last five following their bye-week, while the Cajuns are 5-1 ATS in their last six against teams with winning records and 9-6 ATS in their last 15 after playing a conference game. Play on LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE.

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