AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT "ASSASSIN!" (MASSIVE NFL PROFITS!)
(NFL) Denver vs. San Diego, 10/13/2016 4:25 PM, Score: 13 - 21
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 San Diego (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the San Diego Chargers.

Setting the scene: It's a classic strength against strength matchup tonight, as San Diego possesses one of the best offenses in the league, while the Broncos own one of the best defenses. They say "defense wins championships," but there's nothing on the line of that magnitude tonight. We think the hungry home side does just enough to pull off the slight upset this evening.

The Broncos: Denver comes to town on a short week and off its first loss of the year. It's a prime situational "letdown" spot if we've ever seen one. In last week's 23-16 loss to the Falcons, it was backup Paxton Lynch under center as Trevor Siemian was given the night off to recoup his non-throwing shoulder. It was a bigger loss than what the final score indicated, as Paxton would gain some production late when the game was already decided. Note that Paxton was sacked six times on Sunday. Siemian will be back directing the show tonight, so far he has six TD's and three INT's this season.

The Chargers: San Diego could easily be 4-1 right now. Note that it entered Week 5 sitting at 1-3, having led every single game in the final two minutes. Clearly the team has defensive issues, but the unit catches a break in facing this vanilla Broncos offense, which has struggled with its ground game, turning the already one-dimensional offense even more so. But as mentioned above, the Bolts are in fact the AFC's highest-scoring team with an average of 30.4 PPG.

The bottom line: The short week always favors the home side. Not only does Denver have to worry about the four day turnaround, but head coach Gary Kubiak has been dealing with health issues all week after he was taken to hospital by an ambulance on Sunday night. This one has all of the situational factors in place for an outright upset, but in the end we'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on SAN DIEGO.

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