AAA's 3-GAME DESTRUCTION PASS (67% in Wk 5 & 71% in Wk 6!)
(NCAAF) Arizona State vs. Colorado, 10/15/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 16 - 40
Point Spread: 11.50 | -110.00 Arizona State (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 5* play on Arizona State.

Setting the scene: Arizona State is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS, while Colorado is 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do definitely feel that this one favors the visitors with the points. The Sun Devils enter off a 23-20 win over UCLA, while the Buffs fell 21-17 to USC.

ASU: Backup QB Brady White was 19 of 36 for 179 yards with one TD and one INT. NCAA leading field goal maker Zane Gonzalez made three FG's. Leading rusher Demario Richards had 62 yards and a TD. The offense continues to produce, posting 39.7 PPG, ranked 24th in the nation. The defense though is sub-par, allowing 33 PPG, which ranks 98th overall. The defense though came up big in last week's win over UCLA, sacking Josh Rosen five times (the Bruins managed -1 rushing yard).

Colorado: QB Steven Montez had just 197 yards with one TD and one INT last week. RB Philip Lindsay had just 57 yards rushing. Montez will likely start, but the injured Sefo Liufau could also make an appearance. The QB situation is a little bit up in the air for the home side, but the unit has averaged 38.8 PPG so far, ranked 28th in the nation. The defense gave up 358 yards in the air to the Trojans last week. Overall the unit concedes 20.7 PPG, good for 30th in the country.

The bottom line: Note that Arizona State is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 against teams with winning records (including 2-0 this year), as well as 12-8 ATS in its last 20 after playing a conference game, while Colorado is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 off a loss against a conference rival. Play on ASU.

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