AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT "ART OF WAR!" (+$4,000 ALL CFB SINCE WEEK 5!)
(NCAAF) Miami-FL vs. Virginia Tech, 10/20/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 16 - 37
Total: 51.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between Miami Florida and Virginia Tech.

Setting the scene: These teams sport almost identical stat lines: Miami is 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS and 3-3 O/U, while Virginia Tech is 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U. Miami has lost two in a row, while the Hokies are looking to bounce back off an upset loss at Syracuse last week.

The Hurricanes: Miami started the season 4-0 and averaged 47 PPG in the process. Since switching to league play, that offense has stalled though, totaling just 32 points over the last two games. Miami will be out to atone for last week's lacklustre effort against North Carolina in which it put up just 13 points. The unit posted 363 yards of total offense, QB Brad Kaaya struggled, going 16 of 31 for 224 yards and no TD's. One bright spot was the ground attack, led by the dynamic duo of Joseph Yearby and Mark Walton, who combined for 156 yards in that one and who now have over 1000 yards together, to go along with 14 TD's. After its all said and done, the offense has been decent, averaging 36.7 PPG, good for 30th in the country. The defense has given up just 14 PPG, but looked horrible in giving up 461 yards to the Heels last week.

The Hokies: Virginia Tech will be looking to get out to a much better start this week than last, as it went to Syracuse as a 21 point favorite and left with a 17 points loss. It was a terrible letdown after beating UNC 34-3 on the road the week before. VT though still has a very good shot at taking the Coastal Division title, so we're expecting the team to break out the playbook today and to push the pace from start to finish. The unit will be looking to get the Miami defense out of its comfort zone and not allow it to dictate and enforce its will. Like the Hurricanes, the strength of the Hokies has been their defensive play, as they've given up an average of just 18.2 PPG this year, ranked 15th in the country. But last week against the Orange the unit was exposed, as Syracuse posted a whopping 561 yards of total offense, including 405 through the air. The defense also allowed 32 first downs and 10 of 21 third down conversions.

The bottom line: Note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight road games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 points, while VT has seen the total go OVER in ten of its last 17 in front of the home town crowd. We think the situation sets up perfectly for a higher-scoring shootout, play on the OVER.

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