Stephen Nover Free Saturday Play
(NCAAB) Missouri vs. Arkansas, 01/14/2017 1:00 PM, Score: 73 - 92
Total: 148.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Arkansas has scored 70 or more points in every game this season while averaging 81.6 points. The Razorbacks are going to be highly motivated to snap a two-game losing streak and move their SEC record to 2-3.

The Razorbacks have averaged 87.3 points during their last three games versus Missouri. The over has cashed 64 percent of the time during the past 10 years when Arkansas is a home favorite off two or more losses in a row.

Arkansas' defense isn't good enough, though, to lay this many points against a desperate Missouri team. The best way to play this game is go over the total.

Missouri averages nearly 71 points per contest. The Tigers also lead the SEC in tempo. Their scoring will go up when they convert more baskets, which should happen following a lineup change and expected better 3-point shooting, which is just at 26 percent. The Tigers go all out on offense not afraid to have their guards crash the boards rather than get back on defense. This is a big plus for the over.

Tigers forward Jordan Barnett has come on to average 17 points in his last four games. He provides scoring up front along with Kevin Puryear. Missouri's guards are due to shoot better especially from 3-point range. However, the Tigers also have a lot of backcourt youth that should result in plenty of turnovers against Arkansas' full-court pressure resulting in easy Razorback points and free throw opportunities. Arkansas leads the SEC in free throw percentage at 77 percent while getting to the line an average of 19 times per game.