Stephen Nover's NBA Game of the Week
(NBA) Houston vs. San Antonio, 05/01/2017 5:30 PM, Score: 126 - 99
Point Spread: -5.50 | -113.00 San Antonio (Home)
Result: Loss
It's not a coincidence the Spurs have a strong record of success in the opening game of a playoff round. Gregg Popovich is the best coach in the NBA and he's ready to go, well prepared.

San Antonio opened with a 29-point home win against Memphis this season in their first series game. Last year, the Spurs beat both the Grizzlies and Thunder by 32 points apiece in their respective series openers, both in San Antonion. Then, two years ago, the Spurs defeated the Clippers by 27 points when they played their first series home game.

Now the Spurs host the Rockets, who have failed to cover in 11 of their last 14 games. The Rockets were able to take advantage of the Thunder in their first-round playoff series despite shooting just 28.4 percent from 3-point range. The Rockets live and die more than any team with 3-point shots leading the league in attempts at 40.3 per game.

San Antonio not only ranks fifth in 3-point defensive field goal percentage but led the league in 3-point accuracy making 39.1 percent from beyond the arc. The Spurs shot 41 percent from 3-point range against the Grizzlies in their first-round series. The Grizzlies were a much stronger defensive team than the Thunder.

Then there is the Kawhi Leonard factor. The Rockets ranked 26th defensively. The Spurs, by contrast ranked No. 2 defensively, giving up 11 fewer points than Houston per game. The Rockets have no one who remotely can guard Leonard, who averaged 31.2 points in the series against the Grizzlies while shooting 54.8 percent from the floor and making 59 of 61 free throws. There isn't a better two-way player in basketball.

The Rockets' main man, James Harden, has been bothered by an ankle injury. He shot just 13-of-41 for 31.7 percent from the field in Houston's last two games.