Stephen Nover's Saturday Totals Crusher
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Miami, 05/13/2017 3:10 PM, Score: 3 - 1
Total: 8.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Win
Sometimes you have to take a leap of faith and play a zig/zag in baseball. That's the case for me here going under with a pitching matchup of Julio Teheran versus Edinson Volquez.

Before getting into the starting pitchers, I'll point out Marlins Park is a pitcher's park and these are two below average offenses. The Marlins have injuries with their two best hitting infielders out. MIami's defense should be better than on Friday with former Golden Glover Dee Gordon moving back to his natural second base from shortstop.

Now to the pitchers. Both are considered to be their respective team's No. 1 starters. That's certainly true in the case of the Braves with Teheran, who was very good last season. Teheran, however, has an 8.02 ERA during his last four starts. He's far, far better than that and overdue for a strong start. I believe it comes here.

Volquez has a fat 4.71 ERA on the season and missed his last start due to blister. His walks are way up this season. Volquez is far from dominant, but he's a heady veteran who knows how to pitch. He has a good history against the Braves with a 4-3 lifetime mark and 2.89 ERA in eight starts. He had a 1.29 ERA versus Atlanta last season.

Miami's top reliever, A.J. Ramos, is rested.