NFL Parlay of the Month
(NFL) Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 01/13/2018 11:35 AM, Score: 10 - 15
Total: 41.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
The marketplace has been active early in driving this total down. I agree with the move. The linesmaker opened this game way too high.

The Falcons are perceived as a big offensive team. That was true last season. Not this season. Atlanta's defense is improved, but its offense regressed considerably minus guru offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. Atlanta scored 27 fewer touchdowns and gained 816 fewer yards than last season.

It's why the Falcons have gone Under during their past six games. If you factor in games the Falcons played against playoff teams this season, you'll see an 8-0 mark to the Under with the highest scoring game being 40 points.

The Falcons also haven't faced a defense this good since Week 13 when they were held to nine points at home by the Vikings. Philadelphia is home and its defense is rested following a bye. The Eagles ranked No. 1 in run defense and were in the top-five in most of the major defensive categories, including scoring defense and total yards. The last three road teams combined to average only 6.3 points against the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Eagles will be conservative on offense not wanting to trust, or open things up, with erratic backup quarterback Nick Foles. That means a heavy dose of power inside running with Jay Ajayi, LeGarrette Blount and Corey Clement. The Eagles lost their main outside threat and top returner, Darren Sproles, earlier in the season.

The temperature should be another plus for the under with the forecast calling for temperatures in the 30s with wind around 13 mph.