Stephen Nover's NBA Friday Spread Crusher
(NBA) Sacramento vs. San Antonio, 07/31/2020 8:00 PM, Score: 120 - 129
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 San Antonio (Home)
Bookmaker: PinnacleSports
Result: Win
The Spurs are in serious danger of missing the playoffs for the first time since 1997. This is a must-win spot for them. Sacramento needs to win, too, to keep its outside chances alive.
San Antonio is 27-36. Sacramento is 28-36. 
The Spurs' best big man, seven-time All Star LaMarcus Aldridge, is out. The Kings' top big man, Marvin Bagley III, is out. Sacramento's best player is DeAaron Fox. He leads the team in points, assists and steals. Fox has been dealing with a sprained ankle. He may not be 100 percent. Certainly he's going to be rusty. 
Center Jakob Poeltl has looked good when Aldridge has been missing. The Spurs actually were outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per 100 possessions when Poeltl was on the floor instead of Aldridge. 
This is the first game back for each team since March. It's a no-brainer that Gregg Popovich gives the Spurs a monster coaching edge against Luke Walton especially in these circumstances. 
The Kings are much better in an underdog role. They are just 5-12 (29 percent) the past 17 times when laying points.