Stephen Nover Free Monday Play
(MLB) Miami vs. Milwaukee, 08/17/2015 4:10 PM, Score: 6 - 2
Total: 8.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Push
Not only are the two starting pitchers - Justin Nicolino and Matt Garza - not impressive, but both team's bullpens have issues.



Let's start with the Marlins. Rookie Nicolino is being force fed into the majors right now because Jose Fernandez is back on the DL. Nicolino isn't ready for prime time. His ERA is close to 5.00.



Miami's bullpen is taxed after Sunday's starter, David Phelps, had to be removed during the third inning after undergoing elbow discomfort.



The Marlins continue to miss Giancarlo Stanton, but their other star offensive player, Dee Gordon, is back on track batting .407 in his last six games. The Marlins have gone over the total in 12 of their last 15 games.



The Marlins draw Garza, who is having a terrible season with a 6-12 record and 4.82 ERA. The right-hander has a 4.62 lifetime ERA in seven starts versus Miami. The Marlins have gone over 11 of the last 12 times they've faced a righty starter.



The Brewers aren't likely to have closer Francisco Rodriguez, who is a perfect 29-for-29 in saves with a 1.90 ERA. Rodriguez has pitched the past four days. Milwaukee doesn't have any other dependable relievers.



Note, too, this trend that the over has cashed the past eight times Garza has pitched at home against a foe with a losing mark.

Stephen Nover has cashed nearly 64 percent of his premium baseball plays since July 11 going 28-16 and has his Monday Crusher today in addition to this free selection.