PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's June Underdog Game of Month
(MLB) LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee,
06/28/2016 4:10 PM, Score: 6 - 5
Money Line: 130.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: 130.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Loss
There are several key under-the-radar spots here that clearly point to the home underdog Brewers.
Milwaukee is 21-18 at Miller Park. The Dodgers have a losing road record and just finished a four-game road trip against the Pirates that ended on Monday with a hard-played come-from-behind, one-run Dodgers victory. The Brewers were idle on Monday. The Brewers should be extremely fresh as they've been been idle three of the past eight days.
On paper, it appears the Dodgers have the pitching edge with rookie southpaw Julio Urias facing Chase Anderson. Urias held the Brewers scoreless in five innings on June 17 allowing just two hits and striking out eight. That was at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium, though.
The 19-year-old Urias is 0-2 with a 6.92 road ERA in three away starts. The Brewers are 14-10 versus lefties. Their two best power-hitters, Ryan Braun and Chris Carter, are right-handed. Milwaukee is on a seven-game winning streak against left-handed starters at home.
The Dodgers are limiting Urias' innings. So he doesn't figure to go deep into the game even if he's pitching well. LA has very vulnerable middle relief and closer Kenley Jansen threw 23 pitches on Monday in getting a four-out save.
The right-handed Anderson is 4-7 with a 5.13 ERA. Those are bad numbers. But those figures turn into a more respectable 3-2 with a 3.74 ERA when pitching at Miller Park. The Dodgers are 1-5 in their last six road games versus a righty.
Anderson is pitching on extra rest and is backed by a very good and underrated bullpen where the last three innings can be controlled by Will Smith (2.13 ERA), Tyler Thornburg (2.84 ERA) and closer Jeremy Jeffress (2.67 ERA).
Milwaukee is 21-18 at Miller Park. The Dodgers have a losing road record and just finished a four-game road trip against the Pirates that ended on Monday with a hard-played come-from-behind, one-run Dodgers victory. The Brewers were idle on Monday. The Brewers should be extremely fresh as they've been been idle three of the past eight days.
On paper, it appears the Dodgers have the pitching edge with rookie southpaw Julio Urias facing Chase Anderson. Urias held the Brewers scoreless in five innings on June 17 allowing just two hits and striking out eight. That was at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium, though.
The 19-year-old Urias is 0-2 with a 6.92 road ERA in three away starts. The Brewers are 14-10 versus lefties. Their two best power-hitters, Ryan Braun and Chris Carter, are right-handed. Milwaukee is on a seven-game winning streak against left-handed starters at home.
The Dodgers are limiting Urias' innings. So he doesn't figure to go deep into the game even if he's pitching well. LA has very vulnerable middle relief and closer Kenley Jansen threw 23 pitches on Monday in getting a four-out save.
The right-handed Anderson is 4-7 with a 5.13 ERA. Those are bad numbers. But those figures turn into a more respectable 3-2 with a 3.74 ERA when pitching at Miller Park. The Dodgers are 1-5 in their last six road games versus a righty.
Anderson is pitching on extra rest and is backed by a very good and underrated bullpen where the last three innings can be controlled by Will Smith (2.13 ERA), Tyler Thornburg (2.84 ERA) and closer Jeremy Jeffress (2.67 ERA).
