FREE
The Iceman's Free Pick
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Atlanta,
01/22/2017 10:05 AM, Score: 21 - 44
Total: 61.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 61.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a Free #NFL play on GB@ATL to go UNDER the total.
It was just a few days ago now that the Houston Rockets hosted Golden State, in a game that featured the highest NBA total in modern history (at least the last 10 years). The number opened at 236.5, and closed as high as 242. This is what I said prior to tip off: " Even for those who think this game is going to be a shootout, there's just no value betting over with such an inflated total."
The Warriors went on to win that game by a score of 125-108, which would normally be an easy cash for over bettors. Not in this case though, because the number was just too high. I feel the same way about this year's NFC Championship Game. While I expect both teams to score plenty of points, I still think it's going to be hard to reach what is expected to be the highest NFL total in playoff history.
In order for both teams to score 30+ points, everything has to go right offensively. There's plenty that can go wrong. An injury to a key offensive player (heaven forbid one of the quarterbacks). We could see several drives cut short by turnovers (fumbles or INTs). Or one or both teams could be heavily penalized. Offensive holding penalties, offensive pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct etc.
I do expect this to be a high scoring game, and I've loaded up on prop bets for individual players to score TDs. I don't need 61.5 total points to cash in all those bets, and I think the chances are a lot higher that the total lands between 50-60, than they are for the total to go over 61.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
It was just a few days ago now that the Houston Rockets hosted Golden State, in a game that featured the highest NBA total in modern history (at least the last 10 years). The number opened at 236.5, and closed as high as 242. This is what I said prior to tip off: " Even for those who think this game is going to be a shootout, there's just no value betting over with such an inflated total."
The Warriors went on to win that game by a score of 125-108, which would normally be an easy cash for over bettors. Not in this case though, because the number was just too high. I feel the same way about this year's NFC Championship Game. While I expect both teams to score plenty of points, I still think it's going to be hard to reach what is expected to be the highest NFL total in playoff history.
In order for both teams to score 30+ points, everything has to go right offensively. There's plenty that can go wrong. An injury to a key offensive player (heaven forbid one of the quarterbacks). We could see several drives cut short by turnovers (fumbles or INTs). Or one or both teams could be heavily penalized. Offensive holding penalties, offensive pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct etc.
I do expect this to be a high scoring game, and I've loaded up on prop bets for individual players to score TDs. I don't need 61.5 total points to cash in all those bets, and I think the chances are a lot higher that the total lands between 50-60, than they are for the total to go over 61.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
