Jesse Schule Free Pick
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Philadelphia, 10/11/2015 9:00 AM, Score: 17 - 39
Total: 49.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a Free #NFL play on NO@PHI to go UNDER the total.



The Saints finally picked up their first win of the season at home to Dallas last week, when Drew Brees found a wide open C.J. Spiller for a game winning touchdown in overtime. Brees has been taking a beating this season behind a banged up offensive line, and those issues are still a great concern heading into this game in Philly. He was sacked three times last week, and he was forced to sit out the previous week after suffering a shoulder injury.

The Eagles offense hasn't been able to get off the ground, and poor play on the offensive line has been largely to blame. Sam Bradford was sacked five times for a loss of 37 yards in the loss to the Redskins last week, and they were also backed up 72 yards by penalties.

This game features one of the highest totals on the board this week, and with both of these offenses decimated by injury, I am not sure where all the points are going to come from. Chip Kelly has been on the hot seat after a rough start, and his handling of DeMarco Murray has been one of the more prominent issues. Kelly is as stubborn as they come, but he might just be tempted to lean on the run this week, as New Orleans ranks among the worst in the league in run defense.

Establishing the run would also be a good idea for the Saints, who can't afford to have Drew Brees take any more unnecessary hits. Mark Ingram ran for 77 yards on 17 carries last week, and he and C.J. Spiller could get plenty of touches here on the road.

The Eagles haven't gone over the total yet this season, and yet bettors are still lining up to bet the over, resulting in an inflated number.

Take UNDER.

GL

Jesse Schule