Rogers' 10* SWEET 16 TOP TOTALS TICKET
(NCAAB) Butler vs. North Carolina, 03/24/2017 3:09 PM, Score: 80 - 92
Total: 153.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: Butler has a history of pulling off upsets in the NCAA Tournament, as almost no one forgets the team's back-to-back title-game runs back in 2010 and 2011. However, the fourth-seeded Bulldogs, who are 25-8, will have their hands full with the top-seed in the Midwest, the 29-7 North Carolina Tar Heels.

Butler: The Bulldogs pretty much breezed through the first weekend, never trailing in wins over Winthrop 76-64 and Middle Tennessee State 74-65. Butler's top scorer is the 6-7 Martin (16.0 & 5.8), who comes off the bench. Interestingly, the team's top play-maker, guard Lewis (6.5 & 4.0 APG), also comes off the bench. The starters are the 6-7 Chrabascz (11.1 & 4.5) and the 6-8 Wideman (7.4 & 5.1) up front plus guards Baldwin (10.0), Woodson (8.9) and Savage (8.0). Butler was an efficient offensive team all season, shooting 47.9% (32nd) but through their first two NCAA games, the Bulldogs are shooting 50 percent overall and 47 percent from three-point range.

North Carolina. The Tar Heels laid waste to to Texas Southern in the first round (103-64) but after blowing a lead against Arkansas, had to rally from a five-point deficit in the final 3 1/2 minutes. Carolina ended the game on a 12-0 run to win, 72-65. "Sometimes you need games like that," North Carolina guard Joel Berry II told reporters. "We haven't had a game like that in a while. Now we know we can win a game when we're down five with three minutes to go." North Carolina has no shortage of offensive weapons and comes in averaging 85.1 PPG (10th). 6-8 swingman Justin Jackson (18.1 & 4.7) plus 6-10 forward Kennedy Meeks (12.7 & 9.1) and 6-9 forward Isaiah Hicks (12.4 & 5.7) make for quite a starting frontcourt. PG Berry (14.4 & 3.7 APG) has been hobbled by an ankle injury and struggled to a 2-for-13 shooting performance against the Razorbacks. North Carolina could sure use a good game from him, as the Tar Heels have already lost a starting guard in Williams (6.2), to a knee injury.

The pick: North Carolina is well aware that Butler owns two wins over Villanova this season, so it will want to control the tempo, whether Berry is 100 percent, or not. Butler is the more delibertat team but remember, both teams shoot well and can score. North Carolina has won 12 of its last 13 Sweet 16 games and note that Butler is 20-0 this season and 55-2 under coach Chris Holtmann, when shooting a higher percentage than its opponent. The Under is a 10* play.